Friday, May 05, 2006

Given Up

So, I've given up on the Full Tilt freeroll series. The play is just too crazy to continue investing the time. For the 27 events I entered, I had a best finish of 134 out of 1800. My worst finish was 1714th. You may recall that a seat plug averaged 269th.

My average finish was 646, with a stdev of 392. My median finish was 581. If my finishes were normally distributed, I should have had a cumulative chance of finishing 36th or better of 5.96%, but I never made good on it.

After the 9th attempt, I started keeping track of my finishing hands. Of the 18 where I kept track, I got my money in with far the best of it 9 times (things like AA cracked by KK, or AA vs AxQc and four clubs came).

They play being uniformly horrendous didn't really help me as much as I thought it might. It kind of worked against me in that no matter how many times I went in with a 2:1 or 3:1 or 14:1 advantage, there's be some nutcase still out there that would draw out on me.

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